CBN Regional Projection 2.3

CBN Staff  |  5/23/13                                

A couple of quick notes:

– The only big change in this latest update is Auburn finding themselves on the outside looking in after The Tigers could not extend their SEC Tournament stay past one day. A late regular season push by John Pawlowski's club had people taking notice of Auburn and they entered Hoover, Ala. as one of the hotter teams in the conference. But they still had some work to do and an early exit may spell doom for them in the end. As of now it appears that Auburn will be one of the final teams on the selection committee's cutting board.

– The Big West's UC-Santa Barbara enters into the field in place of Auburn. The Gauchos have a relatively weak RPI of 64, but a 14-10 record in a stout Big West Conference makes them one of the stronger candidate out of the many teams still on the bubble.

– One of those teams on the bubble that has shot up is Texas A&M. The Aggies enter Thursday with a 2-0 record in the SEC Tournament, including a 5-0 win over our top seed Vanderbilt on Wednesday. We still have The Aggies just barely on the outside but a win tonight against Mississippi St. might do the trick.

And now this:

LAST FIVE IN: William and Mary, UC-Irvine, Florida, Seton Hall, UC-Santa Barbara
FIRST FIVE OUT: Texas A&M, South Florida, Auburn, Houston, San Diego

– By conference, the projected field of 64 breaks down like this (* denotes projected conference champion):

America East: Maine*
Atlantic 10: St. Louis*
ACC: North Carolina*, Virginia, Florida St., North Carolina St., Clemson, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, Miami
Atlantic Sun: Mercer*
Big Ten: Indiana*, Illinois, Ohio St.
Big 12: Kansas St.*, Oklahoma St., Oklahoma
Big East: Louisville*, Seton Hall, Pittsburgh
Big South: Campbell*, Coastal Carolina
Big West: Cal St. Fullerton*, Cal Poly, UC-Irvine, UC-Santa Barbara
Colonial: UNC-Wilmington*, William and Mary
C-USA: Southern Miss*, Rice
Horizon: Wisconsin-Milwaukee*
Ivy League: Columbia*
Metro Atlantic: Rider*
Mid-American: Kent St.*
MEAC: Savannah St.*
Missouri Valley: Illinois St.*
Mountain West: New Mexico*
Northeast: Bryant*
Ohio Valley: Tennessee Tech*, Austin Peay St.
Pac 12: Oregon St.*, Oregon, UCLA, Arizona St.
Patriot: Army*
SEC: Vanderbilt*, LSU, South Carolina, Mississippi St., Arkansas, Alabama, Ole Miss, Florida
Southern: Western Carolina*
Southland: Sam Houston St.*
SWAC: Jackson St.*
Summit: South Dakota St.*
Sun Belt: South Alabama*, Louisiana-Lafayette, Troy, Florida Atlantic
West Coast: Gonzaga*, San Francisco
WAC: Cal St. Bakersfield*


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  1. Arkansas is clearly the third best team in the sec. Their non conference record is no reflection of the quality of this team. Good luck to anyone forced to win 2 of 3 against this team's weekend starters.

  2. Florida in, Auburn out? I'm not so sure about that.

  3. You cannot definitively state that Arkansas is the third best team in the sec when they have an rpi in the 40's! You cannot base that statement on their conference record either. They played series against two of the three weakest teams in the sec (Georgia and Tennessee) while avoiding Vandy. MSU finished only a couple of games back in the conference, with an rpi in the top 10, while playing the top ten teams in the conference.